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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack

530 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 55.9%Based on 530 games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.8% – 55.9%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%4.4%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.a4
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack
Analyzen=530
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.8% and 55.9%), based on 530 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 31%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 53.8% win rate (5 games)
  • 1200-1399: 67.6% win rate (17 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.6% win rate (79 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.6% win rate (144 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.9% win rate (146 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.2% win rate (94 games)
  • 2500+: 31.0% win rate (13 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in Bullet (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.4% win rate (65 games)
  • Blitz: 50.5% win rate (354 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (108 games)
  • Classical: 55.6% win rate (3 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 74.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 31.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (91 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (106 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 62.4% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 530 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 60.2% win rate for white (94 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.5%) outperforms Bullet (47.4%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a 43.6% (90% CI: 36.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 144 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a 55.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 146 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-54.8%) win rate for white (354 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 41.9%-57.6%) win rate for white (108 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Yates Variation, Short Attack is statistically balanced with a 50.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.