What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 56.1%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.
1.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 53.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 56.1%), based on 1.2K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 33% → 56%
Best in Blitz (53%), worst in Classical (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K rated games from Lichess.
The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (168 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (53.0%) outperforms Bullet (48.4%) by 4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 42.0%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 250 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 306 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 39.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 156 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-62.5%) win rate for white, based on 168 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 9.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-53.8%) win rate for white (235 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-55.9%) win rate for white (797 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 43.3%-54.6%) win rate for white (210 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.
The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Suetin Variation is statistically balanced with a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.