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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack

22K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 51.2%Based on 22K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 51.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%5.6%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nc3
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack
Analyzen=22K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.1% and 51.2%), based on 22K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.7% win rate (470 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (1,198 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (2,409 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.9% win rate (3,650 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (4,402 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.8% win rate (4,636 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (2,999 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.5% win rate (1,710 games)
  • 2500+: 42.0% win rate (619 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (4,286 games)
  • Blitz: 48.4% win rate (12,289 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (5,181 games)
  • Classical: 45.6% win rate (337 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (156 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (198 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (112 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (365 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (596 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (226 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (529 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (1,324 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (537 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (609 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (2,008 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (956 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (77 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (688 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (2,395 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (1,223 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (662 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (2,717 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (86 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (530 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (1,769 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (668 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (441 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,022 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (306 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (260 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 48.9% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.4%) outperforms Classical (45.6%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 470 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.9%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.1%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 42.0% (90% CI: 38.7%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 619 Lichess games. Average game length is 58 moves with a 22.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.0%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.8%) win rate for white (5.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack has a 45.6% (90% CI: 41.2%-50.1%) win rate for white (337 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Morphy Attack is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.