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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation

76K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.5%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.8%Based on 76K games
0%53.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%6.7%43.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.d3
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation
Analyzen=76K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.7%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 53.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.8%), based on 76K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.7% win rate (355 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.5% win rate (1,247 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (3,109 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (5,936 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.3% win rate (10,790 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.3% win rate (16,659 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.3% win rate (17,588 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (15,088 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (5,613 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.2% win rate (15,668 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (48,472 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (11,534 games)
  • Classical: 48.1% win rate (710 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (163 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (140 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (449 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (640 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (156 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (865 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,746 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (488 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (1,305 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (3,339 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (69 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (2,058 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (6,562 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (2,017 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (2,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (10,941 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (2,912 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (250 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,883 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (11,718 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (2,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (148 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (3,039 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (10,403 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,590 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (2,350 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (2,983 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (259 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (21 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 76K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 51.2% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.9%) outperforms Classical (48.1%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a sharpness score of 93.3 (decisive), meaning 93.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 42.4%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 355 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 43.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 24.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.8%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.3%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.0%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-51.2%) win rate for white (710 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.9%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Martinez Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.