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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 54.6%Based on 1.1K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.6%5.0%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Bc2
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 54.6%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~39%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.4% win rate (15 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.5% win rate (50 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.1% win rate (118 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.1% win rate (179 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (247 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (247 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (128 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.5% win rate (87 games)
  • 2500+: 38.8% win rate (23 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (7%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 6.7% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 51.0% win rate (368 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (505 games)
  • Rapid: 46.9% win rate (200 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (15 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (92 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (76 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (114 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.1% win rate for white (179 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Rapid (46.9%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 40.6%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 118 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 179 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 247 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 44.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 247 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 40.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 128 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-55.3%) win rate for white (368 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.9%) win rate for white (505 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 41.1%-52.7%) win rate for white (200 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Lutikov Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.