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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 46.4%Based on 39K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 46.4%
Outcome Distribution
41.9%8.1%50.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Bb7
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate8.1%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.6% and 46.4%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 26%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (59 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.3% win rate (274 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.3% win rate (915 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.9% win rate (2,712 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.9% win rate (5,543 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (8,687 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.7% win rate (9,117 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.5% win rate (8,426 games)
  • 2500+: 26.1% win rate (2,896 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (43%), worst in Classical (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 40.9% win rate (8,531 games)
  • Blitz: 42.7% win rate (24,039 games)
  • Rapid: 40.4% win rate (5,723 games)
  • Classical: 34.8% win rate (336 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (141 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (106 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 38.0% expected score (359 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (458 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (97 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (905 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (1,475 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (317 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (1,127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (3,480 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (878 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (1,417 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (5,458 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (1,694 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,544 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (5,823 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,662 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (88 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,850 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (5,715 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (839 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (1,154 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (1,502 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (206 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.9% expected score (34 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 57.1% win rate for white (915 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.0%) outperforms Classical (46.1%) by 3.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a sharpness score of 91.9 (decisive), meaning 91.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 56.1% (90% CI: 51.1%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 274 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 57.1% (90% CI: 54.4%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 915 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.1%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 38.5% (90% CI: 37.0%-40.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 55 moves with a 35.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.7%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.5%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System has a 46.1% (90% CI: 41.6%-50.5%) win rate for white (336 Lichess games). Draw rate is 19.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Flohr System is statistically favors white with a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.