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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System

8.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.9%Based on 8.3K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%6.7%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
13.cxd4
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System
Analyzen=8.3K
Avg Length44 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.7%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 49.9%), based on 8.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (12 games)
  • 1200-1399: 61.9% win rate (30 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.5% win rate (89 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.8% win rate (286 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (1,218 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.5% win rate (2,789 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.7% win rate (3,308 games)
  • 2500+: 48.4% win rate (520 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (48%), worst in Rapid (44%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (1,648 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (5,341 games)
  • Rapid: 44.0% win rate (1,187 games)
  • Classical: 47.8% win rate (77 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 38.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 33.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (198 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (830 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (164 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (406 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,830 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (517 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (661 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (2,214 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (430 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (253 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (228 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 69.8% expected score (39 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 48.4% win rate for white (520 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (46.0%) outperforms Classical (47.8%) by -1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a sharpness score of 93.3 (decisive), meaning 93.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 44 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 47.8% (90% CI: 43.0%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 286 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 46.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.9%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 48.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 520 Lichess games. Average game length is 50 moves with a 9.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.6%-47.6%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-47.1%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System has a 44.0% (90% CI: 41.7%-46.4%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.5%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Chigorin Defense, Panov System is statistically balanced with a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.