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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation

2.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 53.6%Based on 2.9K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
49.4%5.4%45.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.d3
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation
Analyzen=2.9K
Avg Length41 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 53.6%), based on 2.9K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.2% win rate (19 games)
  • 1400-1599: 61.7% win rate (82 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (233 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (549 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (1,049 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.6% win rate (852 games)
  • 2500+: 47.0% win rate (108 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (63%), worst in Rapid (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (573 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (2,045 games)
  • Rapid: 47.2% win rate (273 games)
  • Classical: 63.0% win rate (12 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 66.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (152 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (96 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (796 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (186 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (613 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (48 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 61.7% win rate for white (82 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.2%) outperforms Rapid (47.2%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 233 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 549 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 852 Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 39.2%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 108 Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-53.8%) win rate for white (573 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-51.0%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 42.2%-52.1%) win rate for white (273 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Quiet Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.