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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation

7.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.6%Range (90% confident): 43.7% – 45.6%Based on 7.3K games
0%44.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.7% – 45.6%
Outcome Distribution
41.9%5.3%52.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
11...Nc6
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation
Analyzen=7.3K
Avg Length43 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 44.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.7% and 45.6%), based on 7.3K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 31%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1200-1399: 34.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.6% win rate (145 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.2% win rate (609 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.0% win rate (2,048 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.3% win rate (2,849 games)
  • 2200-2499: 37.7% win rate (1,425 games)
  • 2500+: 31.0% win rate (155 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Classical (25%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.2% win rate (1,165 games)
  • Blitz: 42.2% win rate (5,130 games)
  • Rapid: 40.9% win rate (929 games)
  • Classical: 25.3% win rate (44 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.8% expected score (83 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (161 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (399 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (45 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (308 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (1,469 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (248 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 25.6% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (2,118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (439 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.2% expected score (266 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (979 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.3% expected score (178 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 28.7% expected score (69 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 62.3% win rate for white (155 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.3%) outperforms Rapid (52.1%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 43 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 57.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-64.3%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 609 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.1%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 62.3% (90% CI: 55.9%-68.6%) win rate for white, based on 155 Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-57.7%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-54.8%) win rate for white (929 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Borisenko Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.