TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit

490K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score57.6%Range (90% confident): 57.5% – 57.7%Based on 490K games
0%57.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.5% – 57.7%
Outcome Distribution
56.0%3.1%40.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c3
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit
Analyzen=490K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 57.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.5% and 57.7%), based on 490K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +20.2% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 54% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.7% win rate (13,100 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.3% win rate (34,535 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.5% win rate (62,090 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.0% win rate (90,675 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.0% win rate (105,678 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.2% win rate (103,968 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.6% win rate (59,517 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.6% win rate (18,643 games)
  • 2500+: 55.9% win rate (2,086 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.6% win rate (50 games)
  • Bullet: 55.9% win rate (153,247 games)
  • Blitz: 55.9% win rate (251,252 games)
  • Rapid: 56.6% win rate (82,471 games)
  • Classical: 60.4% win rate (3,272 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (5,805 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (5,146 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (2,126 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (12,582 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (16,042 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5,806 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (87 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (19,423 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (30,820 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (11,542 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 67.6% expected score (294 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (25,950 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (45,975 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (17,832 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (910 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (30,088 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (55,486 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (19,036 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (1,060 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (27,573 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (58,943 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (16,744 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.4% expected score (708 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (19,577 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (31,730 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (8,026 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 69.3% expected score (183 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (10,383 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.8% expected score (6,909 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.1% expected score (1,340 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 82.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (1,866 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.8% expected score (201 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.9%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 490K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 58.6% win rate for white (19K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (60.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.6%) by 14.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.8%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 91K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 106K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.9%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 104K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 56.2%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 58.6% (90% CI: 58.0%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 54.1%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.1%) win rate for white (153K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.0%) win rate for white (251K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 56.3%-56.9%) win rate for white (82K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit has a 60.4% (90% CI: 59.0%-61.8%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Zukertort Gambit is statistically favors white with a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.9%-56.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.