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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score40.8%Range (90% confident): 38.9% – 42.7%Based on 1.9K games
0%40.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 38.9% – 42.7%
Outcome Distribution
39.1%3.5%57.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...g6
Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 40.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 38.9% and 42.7%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 20%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (104 games)
  • 1000-1199: 36.9% win rate (287 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.2% win rate (378 games)
  • 1400-1599: 36.3% win rate (366 games)
  • 1600-1799: 38.6% win rate (290 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.4% win rate (210 games)
  • 2000-2199: 39.9% win rate (125 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.0% win rate (92 games)
  • 2500+: 20.0% win rate (16 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (35%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 43.8% win rate (349 games)
  • Blitz: 39.4% win rate (967 games)
  • Rapid: 35.5% win rate (512 games)
  • Classical: 34.9% win rate (40 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.7% expected score (159 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 33.0% expected score (69 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.2% expected score (72 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (197 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 37.4% expected score (173 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.2% expected score (119 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (142 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (97 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.6% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (72 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 35.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 32.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 58.9% win rate for white (366 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (59.9%) outperforms Bullet (53.8%) by 6.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 40.9%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 58.8% (90% CI: 54.0%-63.5%) win rate for white, based on 287 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 56.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 378 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 58.9% (90% CI: 54.7%-63.1%) win rate for white, based on 366 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 57.8% (90% CI: 53.0%-62.5%) win rate for white, based on 290 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 210 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-62.9%) win rate for white, based on 125 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-58.1%) win rate for white (349 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.6%-59.9%) win rate for white (967 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 56.3%-63.4%) win rate for white (512 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation is statistically favors white with a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.