What is the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 59.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.4% and 61.1%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.
1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 59.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.4% and 61.1%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 49% → 77%
Best in Classical (61%), worst in Bullet (54%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.
The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 58.9% win rate for white (366 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (59.9%) outperforms Bullet (53.8%) by 6.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 40.9%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 104 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 58.8% (90% CI: 54.0%-63.5%) win rate for white, based on 287 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 56.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 378 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 58.9% (90% CI: 54.7%-63.1%) win rate for white, based on 366 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 57.8% (90% CI: 53.0%-62.5%) win rate for white, based on 290 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 210 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-62.9%) win rate for white, based on 125 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-58.1%) win rate for white (349 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.6%-59.9%) win rate for white (967 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 56.3%-63.4%) win rate for white (512 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
The Ruy Lopez: Brix Variation is statistically favors white with a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.