TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit

4.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.8%Range (90% confident): 44.6% – 47.1%Based on 4.3K games
0%45.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.6% – 47.1%
Outcome Distribution
44.0%3.7%52.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...g5
Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit
Analyzen=4.3K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 45.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.6% and 47.1%), based on 4.3K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -4.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.7% win rate (838 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.2% win rate (1,046 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (835 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.2% win rate (526 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (575 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.1% win rate (325 games)
  • 2000-2199: 39.3% win rate (99 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.2% win rate (75 games)
  • 2500+: 38.5% win rate (18 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (44%), worst in Classical (38%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 41.4% win rate (456 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (2,333 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (1,431 games)
  • Classical: 38.4% win rate (117 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.6% expected score (85 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (512 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (240 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (93 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (545 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (396 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (366 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (395 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 34.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.8% expected score (171 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 33.7% expected score (60 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (402 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (85 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 38.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.6% win rate for white (526 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.4%) outperforms Rapid (51.8%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit?

The Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.9%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 838 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 835 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 56.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 526 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 575 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 325 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-59.2%) win rate for white (456 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.5%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-54.0%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit has a 58.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-66.0%) win rate for white (117 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Brentano Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.