8.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 57.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.7% and 58.4%), based on 8.5K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 37% → 43%
Best in Classical (61%), worst in Bullet (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K rated games from Lichess.
The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 59.7% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (56.9%) outperforms Bullet (50.1%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 36.8% (90% CI: 29.9%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 122 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 49.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 365 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 804 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.4%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.1%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 59.7% (90% CI: 57.2%-62.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 545 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 12.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 42.5% (90% CI: 35.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 136 Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 10.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.3%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.
In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 56.9% (90% CI: 54.9%-58.8%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.
The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap is statistically favors white with a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.