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Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack

17K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.2%Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 56.9%Based on 17K games
0%56.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 56.9%
Outcome Distribution
53.9%4.6%41.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.O-O
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack
Analyzen=17K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 56.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.6% and 56.9%), based on 17K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.6% win rate (344 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (912 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (1,359 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (1,721 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.5% win rate (1,944 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.1% win rate (2,787 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.1% win rate (3,896 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.7% win rate (3,025 games)
  • 2500+: 47.4% win rate (666 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (55%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 52.7% win rate (6,080 games)
  • Blitz: 55.1% win rate (8,617 games)
  • Rapid: 52.2% win rate (1,850 games)
  • Classical: 53.6% win rate (104 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (149 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (94 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (432 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (323 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (154 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (383 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (669 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (535 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (831 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (309 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (46 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (605 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (1,036 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (281 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (878 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (1,652 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (243 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (1,199 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (2,419 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (275 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,470 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.5% expected score (1,359 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (480 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.8% expected score (179 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 17K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 57.7% win rate for white (3.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (55.1%) outperforms Classical (53.6%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 54.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 344 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 912 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.8%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 57.7% (90% CI: 56.2%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 47.4% (90% CI: 44.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 666 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 20.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.8%) win rate for white (6.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.0%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-54.1%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 45.6%-61.5%) win rate for white (104 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.0%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Nyholm Attack is statistically favors white with a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.