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Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score36.4%Range (90% confident): 35.7% – 37.2%Based on 11K games
0%36.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 35.7% – 37.2%
Outcome Distribution
34.9%2.9%62.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap
n=11K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 36.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 35.7% and 37.2%), based on 11K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 28%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.0% win rate (122 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.8% win rate (372 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.9% win rate (1,026 games)
  • 1400-1599: 39.4% win rate (1,572 games)
  • 1600-1799: 34.1% win rate (2,298 games)
  • 1800-1999: 33.7% win rate (2,723 games)
  • 2000-2199: 30.8% win rate (2,152 games)
  • 2200-2499: 31.9% win rate (948 games)
  • 2500+: 27.8% win rate (83 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~37%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 36.6% win rate (1,550 games)
  • Blitz: 34.8% win rate (6,420 games)
  • Rapid: 34.3% win rate (3,127 games)
  • Classical: 34.7% win rate (199 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (237 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (72 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (162 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (576 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (277 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 37.2% expected score (189 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (856 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (487 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 29.7% expected score (198 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.2% expected score (1,150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.3% expected score (869 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 33.0% expected score (81 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 38.8% expected score (365 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (1,553 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (746 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 39.3% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (1,398 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 29.6% expected score (511 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 37.4% expected score (248 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 33.7% expected score (559 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 30.7% expected score (138 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 26.7% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 29.2% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 34.9% (90% CI: 34.2%-35.7%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (122 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (36.6%) outperforms Classical (34.7%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 53.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 122 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 43.8% (90% CI: 39.6%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 372 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 39.9% (90% CI: 37.4%-42.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 39.4% (90% CI: 37.4%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 34.1% (90% CI: 32.5%-35.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 33.7% (90% CI: 32.2%-35.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 30.8% (90% CI: 29.2%-32.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 31.9% (90% CI: 29.4%-34.4%) win rate for white, based on 948 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 36.6% (90% CI: 34.6%-38.7%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 34.8% (90% CI: 33.8%-35.8%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 34.3% (90% CI: 33.0%-35.7%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap has a 34.7% (90% CI: 29.2%-40.3%) win rate for white (199 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Mortimer Trap is slightly favors black with a 34.9% (90% CI: 34.2%-35.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.