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Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit

3.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.2%Range (90% confident): 53.7% – 56.7%Based on 3.1K games
0%55.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.7% – 56.7%
Outcome Distribution
53.0%4.3%42.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...dxc6
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
Analyzen=3.1K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 55.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.7% and 56.7%), based on 3.1K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (416 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.1% win rate (528 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.1% win rate (676 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.3% win rate (682 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (364 games)
  • 1800-1999: 60.5% win rate (181 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (115 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.4% win rate (130 games)
  • 2500+: 35.8% win rate (25 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (54%), worst in Classical (49%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (807 games)
  • Blitz: 52.1% win rate (1,642 games)
  • Rapid: 54.3% win rate (642 games)
  • Classical: 49.1% win rate (26 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (198 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (257 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (146 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (386 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (130 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (185 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (368 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (122 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (119 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (175 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (68 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 61.3% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 69.6% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Beverwijk Variation
51.4%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 60.5% win rate for white (181 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.3%) outperforms Blitz (52.1%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit?

The Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 416 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 528 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 52.0%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 676 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 682 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 364 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 60.5% (90% CI: 54.5%-66.4%) win rate for white, based on 181 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 40.1%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 50.9%-56.6%) win rate for white (807 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-54.1%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-57.5%) win rate for white (642 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.