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Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

No move sequence recorded for this opening

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.9%

45%60%
Floor52.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.5%.

Measured over 19K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 19K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
19K
Best context
62.3% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Worst context
46.6% at 1400-1599 Rapid
Average game length
29 moves
Games that end decisively
96.8%
Draws
3.2%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 43.8% at 0-999, 54.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (522 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (678 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (313 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (557 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (959 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (355 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (611 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,224 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (486 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (690 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,371 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 19.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (896 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (1,627 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (523 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (997 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (1,766 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (475 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (674 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (1,661 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (267 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 91.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (674 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (851 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (129 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Three Knights Game
50.2%
Russian Game: Italian Variation
50.9%
Russian Game: Stafford Gambit
46.2%
Russian Game: Modern Attack
51.5%
Russian Game: Damiano Variation
58.3%
Continuations (2)
Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit, Bishop Check Line
49.2%
Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation
51.9%

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit scores 52.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.3% and 53.5% — from 19K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
19K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate?

Playing the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit, White wins 51.3%, draws 3.2% and loses 45.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit perform best?

The Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 57.2% (1.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 52.4% in Blitz (10K games) against 50.3% in Rapid (3.1K games).

How sharp is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit?

The Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 47.5%, draws 3.4% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 50.9%, draws 2.2% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.0%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 50.3%, draws 2.9% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 47.3%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 51.1%, draws 2.2% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 53.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 43.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 3.3K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 54.0%, draws 4.2% and loses 41.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 2.6K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 54.8%, draws 4.6% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.2%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 55.5%, draws 5.1% and loses 39.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.1%. It rests on 185 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 44.6%, draws 1.8% and loses 53.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 141 Lichess games.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 54.6%, draws 2.0% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.7%. It rests on 5.8K Lichess games.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.5%, draws 3.6% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 10K Lichess games.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 48.2%, draws 4.0% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 3.1K Lichess games.

What is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 41.8%, draws 6.2% and loses 52.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.9%. It rests on 136 Lichess games.

Is the Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit a good opening?

The Russian Game: Cochrane Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.3% of its games and loses 45.5%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.