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Rat Defense: Balogh Defense

257K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.1%Based on 257K games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.0%3.8%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
Rat Defense: Balogh Defense
Analyzen=257K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 53.1%), based on 257K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (12,861 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (22,276 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.9% win rate (29,467 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.3% win rate (36,003 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (46,934 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.3% win rate (60,063 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.9% win rate (33,407 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.5% win rate (14,220 games)
  • 2500+: 51.2% win rate (1,617 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.2% win rate (510 games)
  • Bullet: 50.4% win rate (80,020 games)
  • Blitz: 50.9% win rate (139,616 games)
  • Rapid: 52.8% win rate (34,912 games)
  • Classical: 55.3% win rate (1,790 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (2,608 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (8,032 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (2,169 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (4,412 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (12,929 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (4,808 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (99 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 35.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (6,503 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (16,519 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (6,075 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (341 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (8,774 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (20,245 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (6,459 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (439 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.7% expected score (166 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (13,021 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (26,957 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (6,296 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (494 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (104 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (17,908 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (36,007 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (5,680 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (364 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.0% expected score (43 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (14,901 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (15,436 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (2,990 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (10,429 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (3,343 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.5% expected score (430 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,464 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 80.8% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Variations (5)
Rat Defense: Accelerated Gurgenidze
50.0%
Rat Defense: Antal Defense
48.5%
Rat Defense: English Rat
47.8%
Rat Defense: English Rat, Lisbon Gambit
44.5%
Rat Defense: English Rat, Pounds Gambit
47.2%
Analyze Rat Defense: Balogh Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate?

The Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 257K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense perform best?

The Rat Defense: Balogh Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (48.2%) by 7.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense?

The Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 48.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-51.8%) win rate for white (510 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.7%) win rate for white (80K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.1%) win rate for white (140K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.2%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.4%-57.2%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Rat Defense: Balogh Defense a good opening?

The Rat Defense: Balogh Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.