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Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

46.6%

40%55%
Floor46.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.0%.

Measured over 29K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 29K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
29K
Best context
49.5% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Worst context
43.9% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
96.2%
Draws
3.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: −5.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 48.2% at 0-999, 39.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (166 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (428 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (643 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (1,214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (329 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (1,301 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (2,379 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (905 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (3,466 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (1,400 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.0% expected score (177 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (1,291 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (3,527 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (1,338 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (1,062 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (2,663 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (951 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (921 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (363 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (644 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.0% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (253 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Réti Opening
52.0%
Variations (5)
Réti Opening: Réti Accepted
54.7%
Réti Opening: Advance Variation
51.9%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Stonewall Line
53.1%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
51.0%
Réti Opening: Reversed Blumenfeld Gambit
52.3%
Analyze Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation scores 46.6% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.1% and 47.0% — from 29K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
29K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate?

Playing the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation, Black wins 44.6%, draws 3.8% and loses 51.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation perform best?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 49.3% (692 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.0% in Blitz (16K games) against 46.2% in Rapid (5.5K games).

How sharp is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 47.4%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 692 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 45.0%, draws 2.8% and loses 52.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 44.1%, draws 2.8% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.6%. It rests on 4.6K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 45.4%, draws 3.3% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 6.3K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 44.7%, draws 4.3% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.1%, draws 4.3% and loses 51.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 4.7K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 43.7%, draws 4.5% and loses 51.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.0%. It rests on 2.9K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.1%, draws 6.0% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 39.4%, draws 6.0% and loses 54.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.4%. It rests on 340 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 45.1%, draws 2.3% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 7.6K Lichess games.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 44.9%, draws 4.1% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 16K Lichess games.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.6%, draws 5.1% and loses 51.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 5.5K Lichess games.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 37.3%, draws 4.8% and loses 57.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 39.7%. It rests on 300 Lichess games.

Is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation a good opening?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 44.6% of its games and loses 51.5%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.