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Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation

29K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.6%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 47.0%Based on 29K games
0%46.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 47.0%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%3.8%51.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Be6
Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation
Analyzen=29K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 46.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 47.0%), based on 29K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -5.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.4% win rate (692 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.0% win rate (2,187 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.1% win rate (4,603 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.4% win rate (6,322 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.7% win rate (6,218 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (4,719 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.7% win rate (2,876 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.1% win rate (1,412 games)
  • 2500+: 39.4% win rate (340 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.5% win rate (20 games)
  • Bullet: 45.1% win rate (7,610 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (15,983 games)
  • Rapid: 43.6% win rate (5,456 games)
  • Classical: 37.3% win rate (300 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (166 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (428 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (643 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (1,214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (329 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (1,301 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (2,379 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (905 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (3,466 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (1,400 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.0% expected score (177 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (1,291 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (3,527 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (1,338 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (1,062 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (2,663 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (951 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 33.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (921 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (1,576 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (363 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (696 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (644 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.0% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (253 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Réti Opening
52.0%
Variations (5)
Réti Opening: Réti Accepted
54.7%
Réti Opening: Advance Variation
51.9%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Stonewall Line
53.1%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
51.0%
Réti Opening: Reversed Blumenfeld Gambit
52.3%
Analyze Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 29K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation perform best?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (4.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (57.9%) outperforms Rapid (51.3%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 692 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.8%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 340 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.5%) win rate for white (7.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.6%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.4%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation has a 57.9% (90% CI: 53.2%-62.5%) win rate for white (300 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation a good opening?

The Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.