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Réti Opening: Advance Variation

535K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.2%Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 46.3%Based on 535K games
0%46.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.1% – 46.3%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%3.8%51.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...d4
Réti Opening: Advance Variation
Analyzen=535K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 46.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.1% and 46.3%), based on 535K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.2% win rate (3,946 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (13,223 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (32,914 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.5% win rate (62,573 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.3% win rate (102,122 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.1% win rate (133,928 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.4% win rate (106,835 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.2% win rate (61,595 games)
  • 2500+: 42.0% win rate (17,448 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Blitz (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.6% win rate (693 games)
  • Bullet: 44.6% win rate (157,004 games)
  • Blitz: 44.0% win rate (308,237 games)
  • Rapid: 44.8% win rate (65,205 games)
  • Classical: 45.3% win rate (3,445 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,214 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,315 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (409 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (4,260 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (7,259 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,683 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (11,251 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (17,020 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (4,528 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (93 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (112 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (17,004 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (35,530 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (9,084 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.1% expected score (843 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (188 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (24,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (61,903 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (14,482 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (973 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (113 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (33,065 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (80,431 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (19,219 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (1,100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.7% expected score (161 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (30,699 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (63,759 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (11,899 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (81 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (24,402 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (33,378 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (3,649 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (10,533 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (6,642 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (252 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (19 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Réti Opening
52.0%
Variations (5)
Réti Opening: Réti Accepted
54.7%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Stonewall Line
53.1%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
51.0%
Réti Opening: Reversed Blumenfeld Gambit
52.3%
Réti Opening: Réti Gambit, Keres Variation
51.5%
Continuations (1)
Réti Opening: Advance Variation, Michel Gambit
47.6%
Analyze Réti Opening: Advance Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate?

The Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 535K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Réti Opening: Advance Variation perform best?

The Réti Opening: Advance Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.3% win rate for white (107K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.7%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation?

The Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 102K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 134K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-52.9%) win rate for white (693 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-52.9%) win rate for white (157K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate for white (308K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Réti Opening: Advance Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.4%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Réti Opening: Advance Variation a good opening?

The Réti Opening: Advance Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.