TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation

15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 49.7%Based on 15K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%5.8%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bg4
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation
Analyzen=15K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 49.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 49.7%), based on 15K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~42%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.4% win rate (28 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (114 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.9% win rate (285 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (676 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.1% win rate (1,319 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (3,027 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (4,462 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (3,837 games)
  • 2500+: 43.1% win rate (1,349 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.2% win rate (20 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (6,404 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (7,706 games)
  • Rapid: 43.8% win rate (901 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (66 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (110 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (129 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (372 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (384 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (793 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (129 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (1,073 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,665 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (258 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (1,561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (2,647 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,922 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,812 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,117 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (223 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Réti Opening
52.0%
Variations (5)
Réti Opening: Réti Accepted
54.7%
Réti Opening: Advance Variation
51.9%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Stonewall Line
53.1%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
51.0%
Réti Opening: Reversed Blumenfeld Gambit
52.3%
Analyze Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation perform best?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.4% win rate for white (4.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.2%) outperforms Classical (46.7%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.0%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 114 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 285 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 676 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.2%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.1%) win rate for white (7.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.4%-50.9%) win rate for white (901 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation a good opening?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.