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Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation

15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.0%

45%55%
Floor48.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.7%.

Measured over 15K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 5.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 15K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
15K
Best context
50.9% at 1800-1999 Blitz
Worst context
47.7% at 1800-1999 Bullet
Average game length
39 moves
Games that end decisively
94.2%
Draws
5.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 49.5% at 0-999, 38.3% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (110 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (129 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (372 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (384 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (793 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (129 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (1,073 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,665 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (258 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (1,561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (2,647 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (240 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,922 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (1,812 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (98 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,117 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (223 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Réti Opening
52.0%
Variations (5)
Réti Opening: Réti Accepted
54.7%
Réti Opening: Advance Variation
51.9%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation, Stonewall Line
53.1%
Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Bogoljubow Variation
51.0%
Réti Opening: Reversed Blumenfeld Gambit
52.3%
Analyze Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation scores 49.0% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 48.4% and 49.7% — from 15K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
15K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate?

Playing the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation, Black wins 46.1%, draws 5.8% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 15K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation perform best?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation performs best for Black at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 55.2% (285 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.5% in Blitz (7.7K games) against 47.9% in Rapid (901 games).

How sharp is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.3%, draws 3.0% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 114 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 53.9%, draws 2.6% and loses 43.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 285 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 48.6%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 676 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 47.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.9%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 47.2%, draws 4.7% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 45.7%, draws 5.9% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.4%, draws 7.1% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.0%. It rests on 3.8K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 43.1%, draws 8.3% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.4%, draws 4.4% and loses 49.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 6.4K Lichess games.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 46.2%, draws 6.7% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 7.7K Lichess games.

What is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.8%, draws 8.0% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 901 Lichess games.

Is the Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation a good opening?

The Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation, Capablanca Variation is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.1% of its games and loses 48.1%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.