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Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation

124K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.9%Range (90% confident): 55.7% – 56.1%Based on 124K games
0%55.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.7% – 56.1%
Outcome Distribution
54.2%3.4%42.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nc3
Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation
Analyzen=124K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 55.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.7% and 56.1%), based on 124K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.3 · Trap factor: +17.9 · n=124K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 52% → 59%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.4% win rate (7,395 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.4% win rate (11,756 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.4% win rate (14,963 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.0% win rate (17,629 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.7% win rate (22,550 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.9% win rate (25,737 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.5% win rate (16,966 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.5% win rate (6,805 games)
  • 2500+: 59.1% win rate (570 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in Bullet (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (262 games)
  • Bullet: 52.2% win rate (54,773 games)
  • Blitz: 55.3% win rate (55,248 games)
  • Rapid: 57.4% win rate (13,651 games)
  • Classical: 57.8% win rate (437 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,589 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (4,243 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (1,546 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (2,589 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (6,402 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (2,717 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (4,233 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (7,492 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (3,118 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (6,357 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (8,611 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (2,459 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (10,031 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (10,497 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (1,863 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (13,506 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (10,842 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (1,286 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.5% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (10,675 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (5,686 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (572 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 71.8% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (5,270 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (1,430 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (88 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (523 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.1% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Philidor Defense
50.2%
Variations (5)
Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit
44.3%
Philidor Defense: Berger Variation
40.3%
Philidor Defense: Bird Gambit
53.3%
Philidor Defense: Boden Variation
49.4%
Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation
50.5%
Analyze Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 124K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 56.4% win rate for white (15K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (57.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.9%) by 4.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.4%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 55.7%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 59.1% (90% CI: 55.7%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 570 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-58.0%) win rate for white (262 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.5%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.6%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.7%-58.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation has a 57.8% (90% CI: 53.9%-61.7%) win rate for white (437 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Philidor Countergambit, Zukertort Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.