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Analyzer

Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation

207 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score48.1%Range (90% confident): 42.5% – 53.8%Based on 207 games
0%48.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.5% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%5.5%49.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bxf7+
Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation
Analyzen=207
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation has a 48.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.5% and 53.8%), based on 207 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.7% win rate (12 games)
  • 1000-1199: 34.9% win rate (20 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (28 games)
  • 1600-1799: 31.5% win rate (35 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.7% win rate (25 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 2200-2499: 70.2% win rate (22 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (66 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (84 games)
  • Rapid: 36.4% win rate (52 games)
  • Classical: 45.5% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 32.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Philidor Defense
50.2%
Variations (5)
Philidor Defense: Albin-Blackburne Gambit
44.3%
Philidor Defense: Berger Variation
40.3%
Philidor Defense: Bird Gambit
53.3%
Philidor Defense: Boden Variation
49.4%
Philidor Defense: Exchange Variation
50.5%
Analyze Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 39.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 207 rated games from Lichess.

Is the Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.5%) outperforms Rapid (36.4%) by 12.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation?

The Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

Is the Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Nimzowitsch, Larobok Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.3% (90% CI: 39.7%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.