Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.7%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.3%Based on 19K games
0%48.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.3%
Outcome Distribution
46.9%3.7%49.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.O-O
Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 48.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 49.3%), based on 19K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.6% win rate (81 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.4% win rate (224 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (522 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.6% win rate (872 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.2% win rate (1,966 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.0% win rate (4,802 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.1% win rate (6,200 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.9% win rate (4,002 games)
  • 2500+: 49.1% win rate (494 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (64%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (4,963 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (12,032 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (2,085 games)
  • Classical: 47.8% win rate (79 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.1% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (123 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (283 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (96 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (197 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (464 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (197 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (433 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (1,264 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (255 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (918 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (3,315 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (551 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (1,243 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (4,308 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (619 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,578 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,119 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (305 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (376 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (116 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation perform best?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.4% win rate for white (224 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.6%) outperforms Classical (47.8%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 52.0%-62.8%) win rate for white, based on 224 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 45.0%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 50.9%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 872 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 43.3%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.8%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 494 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.8%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.4%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.4%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation a good opening?

The Philidor Defense: Hanham Variation, Krause Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.