What is the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 51.9%), based on 6.5K Lichess games.
6.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 51.9%), based on 6.5K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 44% → 54%
Best in Classical (52%), worst in UltraBullet (45%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K rated games from Lichess.
The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (49.6%) outperforms Rapid (46.9%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.7%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 280 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 41.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 293 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 513 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 44.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 883 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 504 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.6%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Blitz games, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.1%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.
In Rapid games, the Owen Defense: Wind Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 43.1%-50.7%) win rate for white (456 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
The Owen Defense: Wind Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.