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Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation

2.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.1%Based on 2.5M games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.0% – 52.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%3.7%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.e5
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation
Analyzen=2.5M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.0% and 52.1%), based on 2.5M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 33%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.3% win rate (182,332 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.8% win rate (367,839 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.2% win rate (470,487 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (488,695 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (418,206 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.1% win rate (317,901 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.6% win rate (175,592 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (75,096 games)
  • 2500+: 33.0% win rate (17,262 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Blitz (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.0% win rate (2,445 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (566,326 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (1,426,031 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (501,952 games)
  • Classical: 53.1% win rate (16,656 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (73 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (37,196 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (116,791 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (28,195 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (77 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (131 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (62,171 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (219,778 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (84,991 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (768 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (307 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (82,680 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (264,948 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (119,291 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.9% expected score (3,261 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.2% expected score (721 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (96,920 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (269,304 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (115,707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (6,043 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (601 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (92,400 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (236,030 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (84,858 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (4,317 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.6% expected score (364 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (84,913 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (184,544 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (46,409 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (1,671 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (60,209 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (96,480 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18,297 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (422 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.2% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (39,648 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (31,384 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (3,922 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (10,189 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (6,772 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (282 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 80.3% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.5M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (368K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (53.1%) outperforms Blitz (49.6%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 182K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 368K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 470K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 489K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 418K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 318K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 176K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 75K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 33.0% (90% CI: 32.5%-33.6%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 36.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.4%-55.7%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.0%) win rate for white (566K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (1.4M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.1%) win rate for white (502K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.8%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.