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Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation

172K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.2%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.4%Based on 172K games
0%50.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.4%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%4.8%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation
n=172K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.4%), based on 172K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 44% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.5% win rate (234 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (1,348 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (4,841 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (13,607 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (27,498 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (44,805 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.8% win rate (44,156 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.7% win rate (29,673 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (5,526 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (12 games)
  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (61,095 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (93,671 games)
  • Rapid: 45.9% win rate (16,067 games)
  • Classical: 44.0% win rate (843 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (134 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (683 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (545 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (115 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,248 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (2,169 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (416 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (5,388 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6,871 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,279 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (66 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (9,535 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (14,840 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (2,904 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (216 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (13,214 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (26,337 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (4,933 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (319 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (13,271 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (26,074 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (4,623 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (12,790 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (15,166 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (1,684 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (3,832 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,582 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%
Continuations (1)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation, Modern Line
51.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 172K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.8% win rate for white (5.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.0%) outperforms Classical (44.0%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 38.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 234 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.7%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.3%) win rate for white (61K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.7%) win rate for white (94K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.5%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 41.2%-46.8%) win rate for white (843 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.8%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Three Knights Variation, Duchamp Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.