TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred

23K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 51.3%Based on 23K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%4.8%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred
n=23K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 51.3%), based on 23K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 64% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 64.4% win rate (21 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.0% win rate (135 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.4% win rate (545 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (1,629 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (3,715 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (6,583 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.7% win rate (6,150 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (3,462 games)
  • 2500+: 50.2% win rate (496 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (8,007 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (12,674 games)
  • Rapid: 46.6% win rate (1,970 games)
  • Classical: 41.3% win rate (82 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (71 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (272 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (245 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (666 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (839 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (113 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,213 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (2,187 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (299 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,840 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (4,026 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (681 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 35.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,990 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (3,506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (638 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (1,589 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,674 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (195 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (356 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (135 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.9%) outperforms Classical (41.3%) by 7.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 56.0% (90% CI: 49.0%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 135 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 50.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 545 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 46.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 496 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.8%) win rate for white (8.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.0%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.5%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Hübner Deferred is statistically balanced with a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.