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Analyzer

Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line

3.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.2%Range (90% confident): 43.8% – 46.7%Based on 3.1K games
0%45.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.8% – 46.7%
Outcome Distribution
41.9%6.6%51.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line
n=3.1K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.6%

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 45.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.8% and 46.7%), based on 3.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.3% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 45%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.4% win rate (28 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.6% win rate (101 games)
  • 1800-1999: 36.5% win rate (424 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.1% win rate (1,036 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (1,330 games)
  • 2500+: 45.3% win rate (225 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (30%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.1% win rate (840 games)
  • Blitz: 41.9% win rate (2,117 games)
  • Rapid: 32.8% win rate (183 games)
  • Classical: 30.4% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399————
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (66 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.9% expected score (285 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (230 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (701 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.7% expected score (100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (372 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (911 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (137 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzo-Indian Defense
48.4%
Variations (5)
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation
50.5%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation
48.9%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Macieja System
54.8%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Pirc Variation
47.2%
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Classical Variation, Berlin Variation, Steiner Variation
46.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.5%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line perform best?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 44.9% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.1%) outperforms Rapid (32.8%) by 11.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a sharpness score of 93.4 (decisive), meaning 93.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 37.6% (90% CI: 29.9%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 36.5% (90% CI: 32.7%-40.4%) win rate for white, based on 424 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 40.1% (90% CI: 37.7%-42.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.6%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 45.3% (90% CI: 39.8%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 44.1% (90% CI: 41.3%-47.0%) win rate for white (840 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.1%-43.7%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line has a 32.8% (90% CI: 27.2%-38.6%) win rate for white (183 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.6%.

Is the Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line a good opening?

The Nimzo-Indian Defense: Hübner Variation, Main Line is slightly favors black with a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.5%-43.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.