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King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit

4.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score58.2%Range (90% confident): 56.9% – 59.5%Based on 4.0K games
0%58.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.9% – 59.5%
Outcome Distribution
56.4%3.6%40.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nxd4
King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit
Analyzen=4.0K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 58.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 56.9% and 59.5%), based on 4.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +15.1% · Breakpoint: Never

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~58%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.2% win rate (899 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.6% win rate (1,230 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.3% win rate (889 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.5% win rate (660 games)
  • 1600-1799: 60.8% win rate (236 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (77 games)
  • 2000-2199: 31.0% win rate (13 games)
  • 2200-2499: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Bullet (55%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 55.2% win rate (675 games)
  • Blitz: 56.5% win rate (2,081 games)
  • Rapid: 56.3% win rate (1,217 games)
  • Classical: 67.2% win rate (32 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (136 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.4% expected score (493 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (270 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (166 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (600 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (462 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (463 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (265 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (111 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (376 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (158 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (67 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 61.4% expected score (113 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.7% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Opening
46.8%
Variations (1)
King's Pawn Opening: Speers
33.2%
Analyze King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate?

The King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 40.0% (90% CI: 38.8%-41.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 41.9% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (42.6%) outperforms Rapid (39.4%) by 3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit?

The King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 37.6% (90% CI: 35.0%-40.3%) win rate for white, based on 899 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 41.9% (90% CI: 39.6%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 38.3%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 889 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 39.7% (90% CI: 36.6%-42.8%) win rate for white, based on 660 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 34.3% (90% CI: 29.3%-39.4%) win rate for white, based on 236 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 42.6% (90% CI: 39.5%-45.8%) win rate for white (675 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 39.7% (90% CI: 38.0%-41.5%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit has a 39.4% (90% CI: 37.1%-41.7%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit is slightly favors black with a 40.0% (90% CI: 38.8%-41.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.