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Analyzer

King's Pawn Opening: Speers

35K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score35.3%Range (90% confident): 34.9% – 35.8%Based on 35K games
0%35.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 34.9% – 35.8%
Outcome Distribution
33.2%4.2%62.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Qf5
King's Pawn Opening: Speers
Analyzen=35K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 35.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 34.9% and 35.8%), based on 35K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 34% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 34.1% win rate (22,670 games)
  • 1000-1199: 32.8% win rate (7,150 games)
  • 1200-1399: 31.0% win rate (2,994 games)
  • 1400-1599: 27.2% win rate (1,564 games)
  • 1600-1799: 30.4% win rate (346 games)
  • 1800-1999: 29.9% win rate (114 games)
  • 2000-2199: 33.3% win rate (51 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.1% win rate (19 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (35%), worst in Classical (28%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (69 games)
  • Bullet: 35.3% win rate (3,921 games)
  • Blitz: 33.6% win rate (15,379 games)
  • Rapid: 32.5% win rate (14,822 games)
  • Classical: 27.8% win rate (719 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999——
2000-2199———
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.5% expected score (2,117 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 36.2% expected score (10,467 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (9,947 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.5% expected score (126 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.1% expected score (736 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.4% expected score (2,981 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 33.9% expected score (3,174 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.5% expected score (244 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 29.5% expected score (446 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 34.2% expected score (1,189 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 32.6% expected score (1,141 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.5% expected score (385 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 31.3% expected score (553 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 26.2% expected score (469 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.0% expected score (145 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 36.3% expected score (119 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 30.8% expected score (139 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 29.9% expected score (73 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 35.3% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 31.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 24.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 27.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Opening
46.8%
Variations (1)
King's Pawn Opening: Van Hooydoon Gambit
40.0%
Analyze King's Pawn Opening: Speers PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate?

The King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 33.2% (90% CI: 32.8%-33.6%) win rate for white, based on 35K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Opening: Speers perform best?

The King's Pawn Opening: Speers performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 34.1% win rate for white (23K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (35.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (33.3%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers?

The King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 34.1% (90% CI: 33.5%-34.6%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 32.8% (90% CI: 31.8%-33.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 31.0% (90% CI: 29.6%-32.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 27.2% (90% CI: 25.3%-29.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 30.4% (90% CI: 26.4%-34.5%) win rate for white, based on 346 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 29.9% (90% CI: 23.1%-37.0%) win rate for white, based on 114 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 35.3% (90% CI: 34.0%-36.5%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 33.6% (90% CI: 32.9%-34.2%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 32.5% (90% CI: 31.9%-33.1%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Opening: Speers has a 27.8% (90% CI: 25.1%-30.6%) win rate for white (719 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the King's Pawn Opening: Speers a good opening?

The King's Pawn Opening: Speers is slightly favors black with a 33.2% (90% CI: 32.8%-33.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.