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King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation

110K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.6%Based on 110K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.1% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.0%4.7%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.d5
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation
Analyzen=110K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.1% and 53.6%), based on 110K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.9% win rate (138 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.7% win rate (588 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.7% win rate (1,471 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.7% win rate (4,340 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.3% win rate (11,539 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.3% win rate (27,342 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (36,775 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.3% win rate (23,372 games)
  • 2500+: 52.5% win rate (4,080 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.6% win rate (18 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (33,436 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (63,956 games)
  • Rapid: 50.4% win rate (11,623 games)
  • Classical: 46.4% win rate (612 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.3% expected score (74 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (323 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (223 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (635 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (665 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (162 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (1,466 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (2,317 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (522 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (3,147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (6,709 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,560 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (120 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (6,144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (17,294 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (3,641 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (260 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (8,864 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (23,743 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (4,002 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (163 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (9,528 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (12,191 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (1,626 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (3,255 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (766 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 67.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Continuations (1)
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation, Main Line
53.0%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 110K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 59.9% win rate for white (138 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.7%) outperforms Classical (46.4%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 53.0%-66.6%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 588 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.2%) win rate for white (33K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.1%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.2%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-49.7%) win rate for white (612 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.5%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Closed Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.