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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto

30K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.3%Based on 30K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%5.9%46.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g3
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto
Analyzen=30K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 51.3%), based on 30K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.1% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.8% win rate (388 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (987 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (1,877 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (3,174 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.1% win rate (4,349 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.1% win rate (5,553 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.3% win rate (5,913 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (5,766 games)
  • 2500+: 48.1% win rate (1,552 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.2% win rate (91 games)
  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (7,954 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (16,081 games)
  • Rapid: 47.5% win rate (5,140 games)
  • Classical: 40.9% win rate (293 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (94 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (199 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (265 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (505 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (213 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (443 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (969 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (446 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (699 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (1,680 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (745 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (963 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (2,343 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (965 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (1,202 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (3,002 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,219 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.1% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,487 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,438 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (912 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (2,036 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (3,205 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (504 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (765 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (740 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Accelerated Averbakh Variation
49.7%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation
55.2%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense
46.8%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Advance Variation
50.6%
King's Indian Defense: Averbakh Variation, Benoni Defense, Exchange Variation
49.1%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 30K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (987 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.0%) outperforms Classical (40.9%) by 8.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 45.8% (90% CI: 41.7%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 388 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 987 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 11.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.0%) win rate for white (8.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.2%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.7%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto has a 40.9% (90% CI: 36.2%-45.7%) win rate for white (293 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.1%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Immediate Fianchetto is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.