Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit

222K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

No move sequence recorded for this opening

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.1%

45%55%
Floor50.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.2%.

Measured over 222K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.2 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 222K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
222K
Best context
53.6% at 1000-1199 Bullet
Worst context
45.8% at 2000-2199 Rapid
Average game length
30 moves
Games that end decisively
96.8%
Draws
3.2%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 52.5% at 0-999, 58.6% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (4,964 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (13,869 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (6,331 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (7,518 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (22,717 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (10,010 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (178 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 58.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (10,803 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (24,581 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (11,136 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (734 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (8,997 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (23,684 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (10,124 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (603 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (8,352 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (20,164 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (6,834 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (311 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (5,633 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (11,443 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (3,328 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,493 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (3,497 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (763 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (944 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (1,491 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (101 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (133 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: MacLeod Defense
53.4%
King's Gambit Accepted: Fischer Defense
52.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
55.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Modern Defense
51.3%
King's Gambit Accepted: Schallopp Defense
53.3%

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit scores 51.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.9% and 51.2% — from 222K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
222K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate?

Playing the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit, White wins 49.5%, draws 3.2% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 222K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 57.7% (213 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 51.1% in Blitz (122K games) against 49.8% in Rapid (49K games).

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 50.2%, draws 3.7% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 50.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 40K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 49.7%, draws 3.0% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 47K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 43K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 49.0%, draws 3.1% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 36K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 47.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 46.9%, draws 3.4% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 6.8K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 48.0%, draws 4.6% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 55.2%, draws 4.9% and loses 39.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 213 Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 53.1%, draws 1.0% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 152 Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.1%, draws 2.0% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 50K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 49.4%, draws 3.4% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 122K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 47.9%, draws 3.9% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 49K Lichess games.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 47.9%, draws 4.4% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Polerio Gambit is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 49.5% of its games and loses 47.4%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.