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Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score35.7%Range (90% confident): 35.2% – 36.2%Based on 25K games
0%35.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 35.2% – 36.2%
Outcome Distribution
33.0%5.3%61.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Rh3
Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 35.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 35.2% and 36.2%), based on 25K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 29.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 27% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 27.0% win rate (6,632 games)
  • 1000-1199: 25.9% win rate (2,710 games)
  • 1200-1399: 27.5% win rate (2,314 games)
  • 1400-1599: 26.7% win rate (3,415 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.3% win rate (2,657 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.0% win rate (2,572 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.7% win rate (2,362 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.4% win rate (1,588 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (390 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (44%), worst in Classical (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.9% win rate (647 games)
  • Bullet: 37.1% win rate (11,018 games)
  • Blitz: 32.2% win rate (8,939 games)
  • Rapid: 22.7% win rate (3,729 games)
  • Classical: 14.4% win rate (307 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (1,836 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.1% expected score (2,778 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.1% expected score (1,925 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 25.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (86 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 29.7% expected score (968 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.4% expected score (985 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 25.3% expected score (614 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 6.4% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 33.1% expected score (783 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 29.7% expected score (924 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 20.2% expected score (392 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 16.4% expected score (64 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 31.4% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 27.6% expected score (1,115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 17.5% expected score (504 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 14.8% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (1,527 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.9% expected score (846 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (166 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 22.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (1,806 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (658 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.8% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (988 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (1,463 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Kádas Opening
45.1%
Variations (5)
Kádas Opening: Kádas Gambit
42.9%
Kádas Opening: Koola-Koola Variation
44.2%
Kádas Opening: Myers Variation
46.8%
Kádas Opening: Schneider Gambit
48.0%
Kádas Opening: Steinbok Gambit
54.8%
Analyze Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 33.0% (90% CI: 32.5%-33.5%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap perform best?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (390 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (43.9%) outperforms Classical (14.4%) by 29.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 27.0% (90% CI: 26.1%-27.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 25.9% (90% CI: 24.5%-27.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 27.5% (90% CI: 26.0%-29.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 26.7% (90% CI: 25.5%-28.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 39.3% (90% CI: 37.7%-40.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 41.0% (90% CI: 39.4%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 44.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 52.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 390 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 43.9% (90% CI: 40.7%-47.1%) win rate for white (647 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 37.1% (90% CI: 36.3%-37.8%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 32.2% (90% CI: 31.4%-33.0%) win rate for white (8.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 22.7% (90% CI: 21.5%-23.8%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.1%.

What is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap has a 14.4% (90% CI: 11.3%-17.8%) win rate for white (307 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap a good opening?

The Kádas Opening: Beginner's Trap is slightly favors black with a 33.0% (90% CI: 32.5%-33.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.