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Analyzer

Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit

130K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit leaves Black at 45.4% — pick a better weapon.

The minimum advantage of -9.6% means this line underperforms at the selected level.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score45.4%Based on 130K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%45.4%55%
Range (90% confident): 45.2% – 45.7%
Min adv-9.6%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=130K
Outcome Distribution
2...e5
Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit
Analyzen=130K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 45.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.2% and 45.7%), based on 130K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -8.7% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 42% → 39%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.9% win rate (8,769 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.2% win rate (10,293 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.1% win rate (14,604 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.8% win rate (20,920 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.6% win rate (25,002 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.4% win rate (23,488 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.7% win rate (15,974 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.8% win rate (8,488 games)
  • 2500+: 39.2% win rate (2,103 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Rapid (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (4,173 games)
  • Bullet: 45.9% win rate (49,539 games)
  • Blitz: 42.9% win rate (54,842 games)
  • Rapid: 40.8% win rate (20,381 games)
  • Classical: 40.9% win rate (706 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (66 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (2,485 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (4,032 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (2,159 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 32.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.9% expected score (121 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (3,028 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (5,095 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.7% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 22.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (378 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (4,350 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (7,096 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (2,714 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (1,007 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (5,721 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (9,915 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (4,090 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (187 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (1,118 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (7,385 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (11,371 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (4,904 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (8,553 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (10,597 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (3,312 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (125 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.2% expected score (425 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (8,956 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (5,508 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 28.7% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (146 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (7,013 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (1,185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 26.3% expected score (144 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 18.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (2,048 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 33.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate?

The Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 130K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit perform best?

The Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.7% win rate for white (2.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.4%) outperforms Bullet (51.2%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit?

The Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.3%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.9%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.8%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.6%) win rate for white (50K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.0%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.8%-56.0%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-57.6%) win rate for white (706 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Maddigan Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.