Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense
988 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
50.5%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.2%.
Measured over 988 games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 2.9 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 988 games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 988
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 28 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 97.1%
- Draws
- 2.9%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 49.7% at 0-999, 36.8% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (124 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (62 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (76 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (35 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 64.1% expected score (27 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (67 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (23 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (31 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (32 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (47 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (39 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.2% expected score (34 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (57 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (34 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 91.2% expected score (7 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (45 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense scores 50.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.9% and 53.2% — from 988 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 988+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate?
Playing the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense, Black wins 49.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 988 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense perform best?
The Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 53.5% (226 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 47.8% in Blitz (433 games) against 53.1% in Rapid (176 games).
How sharp is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense?
The Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 51.2%, draws 4.6% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 226 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 48.8%, draws 2.5% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 139 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 50.5%, draws 2.5% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 136 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 45.9%, draws 3.0% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 115 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 52.0%, draws 2.3% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 109 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 52.4%, draws 1.8% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 297 Lichess games.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 45.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 433 Lichess games.
What is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 52.1%, draws 2.0% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.1%. It rests on 176 Lichess games.
Is the Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense a good opening?
The Indian Defense: Gibbins-Weidenhagen Gambit, Oshima Defense is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 49.1% of its games and loses 48.1%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.