Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation

602K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
h8
g
f
e
d
c
b
a
4...d6
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.6%

45%60%
Floor52.4%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.7%.

Measured over 602K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for Black at this level and clock.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 602K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
602K
Best context
58.9% at 1400-1599 Classical
Worst context
47.2% at 2200-2499 Rapid
Average game length
36 moves
Games that end decisively
96.0%
Draws
4.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 58.8%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (4,723 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (5,746 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,539 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.6% expected score (134 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (15,182 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (14,030 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (3,855 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (63 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (31,213 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (28,429 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (7,070 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (254 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (723 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (48,513 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (47,365 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (10,909 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (556 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (931 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (57,900 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (59,588 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (11,950 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (518 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (776 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (62,996 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (51,392 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (10,043 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.3% expected score (413 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.2% expected score (218 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (50,272 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (22,592 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,324 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.0% expected score (90 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.9% expected score (72 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (35,898 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (5,084 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (517 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (6,505 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (132 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation scores 52.6% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.4% and 52.7% — from 602K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
602K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate?

Playing the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation, Black wins 50.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 602K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 55.9% (12K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 52.4% in Blitz (234K games) against 53.2% in Rapid (49K games).

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 54.5%, draws 2.8% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 52.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 52.4%, draws 3.1% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 67K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 51.5%, draws 3.4% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 108K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 50.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 131K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 49.9%, draws 4.5% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 126K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 49.2%, draws 4.7% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 76K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 47.2%, draws 5.2% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 42K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 45.4%, draws 6.3% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 6.6K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 49.7%, draws 1.8% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 3.3K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 50.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 313K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 50.0%, draws 4.7% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 234K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 50.5%, draws 5.4% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.2%. It rests on 49K Lichess games.

What is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 52.0%, draws 5.9% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.0%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games.

Is the Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Colle System, King's Indian Variation is good for Black. Across all ratings, Black wins 50.5% of its games and loses 45.4%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.