Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation

192K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
h8
g
f
e
d
c
b
a
3...Ne4
Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.4%

45%55%
Floor50.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 50.6%.

Measured over 192K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 5.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 192K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
192K
Best context
53.5% at 1200-1399 Bullet
Worst context
41.1% at 1000-1199 Rapid
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
94.9%
Draws
5.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +8.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 44.7%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (802 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (946 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (340 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,693 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,934 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (611 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.4% expected score (173 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (3,465 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (4,095 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.6% expected score (328 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (6,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (8,939 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (2,914 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.0% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (245 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (7,808 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (19,337 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (5,339 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (544 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (113 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (9,123 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (31,070 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (7,189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (9,489 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (32,778 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (5,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (240 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (7,918 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (16,112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (1,646 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (1,646 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (1,328 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.2% and 50.6% — from 192K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
192K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games before we will say where it stops working. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.4% (range, 90% confident: 50.2% – 50.6%) for Black, based on 192K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation performs best at 1200-1399, where it scores 52.1% for Black (8.9K games). It tends to score less at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, UltraBullet (53.7%) outperforms Classical (45.6%). Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 49.7% (range, 90% confident: 47.9% – 51.4%) for Black, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 49.7% (range, 90% confident: 48.4% – 50.9%) for Black, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 52.1% (range, 90% confident: 51.2% – 53.0%) for Black, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.9% (range, 90% confident: 50.3% – 51.5%) for Black, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.8% (range, 90% confident: 50.4% – 51.3%) for Black, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.4% (range, 90% confident: 50.1% – 50.8%) for Black, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.3% (range, 90% confident: 49.9% – 50.7%) for Black, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 49.4% (range, 90% confident: 48.9% – 50.0%) for Black, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 46.2% (range, 90% confident: 44.7% – 47.7%) for Black, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 53.7% (range, 90% confident: 51.1% – 56.4%) for Black (965 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 51.4% (range, 90% confident: 51.0% – 51.8%) for Black (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 50.4% (range, 90% confident: 50.1% – 50.6%) for Black (117K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 48.6% (range, 90% confident: 48.1% – 49.2%) for Black (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation scores 45.6% (range, 90% confident: 43.6% – 47.7%) for Black (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation is about level with a 47.1% (range, 90% confident: 46.9% – 47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.