Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation

192K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation is balanced for Black at 50.4% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Playable
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.4%Based on 192K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
45%50.4%55%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 50.6%
Min adv+0.3%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=192K
Outcome Distribution
3...Ne4
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation
Analyzen=192K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 50.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.6%), based on 192K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +8.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.4% win rate (2,107 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.5% win rate (4,295 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.9% win rate (8,920 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (18,340 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (33,273 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (48,056 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.1% win rate (48,375 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.7% win rate (25,725 games)
  • 2500+: 41.8% win rate (2,990 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.1% win rate (965 games)
  • Bullet: 49.7% win rate (47,988 games)
  • Blitz: 47.5% win rate (116,539 games)
  • Rapid: 45.9% win rate (25,049 games)
  • Classical: 41.9% win rate (1,540 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (802 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (946 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (340 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,693 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,934 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (611 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.4% expected score (173 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (3,465 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (4,095 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (1,156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.6% expected score (328 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (6,044 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (8,939 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (2,914 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.0% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (245 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (7,808 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (19,337 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (5,339 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (544 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (113 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (9,123 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (31,070 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (7,189 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (561 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (9,489 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (32,778 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (5,839 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (240 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (7,918 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (16,112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (1,646 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (37 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (1,646 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (1,328 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 192K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (3.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (50.7%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.7%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 45.9%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 48K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.1%-48.3%) win rate for white (965 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.1%) win rate for white (117K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.2%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.8%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Budapest Defense, Fajarowicz Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.