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Analyzer

Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit

219 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit is balanced for Black at 50.0% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score50.0%Based on 219 gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%50.0%60%
Range (90% confident): 44.5% – 55.6%
Min adv-11.1%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=219
Outcome Distribution
3...b5
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
Analyzen=219
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit has a 50.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.5% and 55.6%), based on 219 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~52%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.4% win rate (14 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.3% win rate (37 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.4% win rate (49 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.2% win rate (40 games)
  • 2000-2199: 31.9% win rate (22 games)
  • 2200-2499: 61.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 2500+: 53.8% win rate (5 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (34%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 46.6% win rate (64 games)
  • Blitz: 51.0% win rate (125 games)
  • Rapid: 34.4% win rate (29 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199———
2200-2499———
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Wade-Tartakower Defense
49.2%
Indian Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
Indian Defense: London System
50.8%
Indian Defense: Knights Variation
50.9%
Indian Defense: Budapest Defense
48.1%
Analyze Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit win rate?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 219 rated games from Lichess.

Is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.7%) outperforms Blitz (46.2%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 39.0%-53.5%) win rate for white (125 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

Is the Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit a good opening?

The Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit is slightly favors black with a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.3%-53.4%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.