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Analyzer

Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit

124K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.8%Based on 124K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%3.0%50.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Bd6
Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit
Analyzen=124K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 48.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 48.8%), based on 124K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.1% win rate (2,289 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.2% win rate (5,277 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.5% win rate (10,155 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (18,784 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.0% win rate (26,717 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.6% win rate (31,907 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (21,096 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.6% win rate (7,265 games)
  • 2500+: 49.0% win rate (604 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.3% win rate (682 games)
  • Bullet: 45.5% win rate (44,644 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (64,872 games)
  • Rapid: 49.4% win rate (13,657 games)
  • Classical: 54.3% win rate (239 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (877 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (991 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (414 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,374 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (3,076 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (808 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (2,579 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (5,607 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (1,921 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 35.8% expected score (157 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (5,599 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (10,404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (2,561 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (63 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (8,666 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (14,065 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (3,548 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (72 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (119 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (9,599 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (19,259 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (2,881 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (10,486 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (9,316 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (1,286 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (4,956 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (2,089 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (212 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (508 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (65 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Elephant Gambit
49.2%
Variations (2)
Elephant Gambit: Paulsen Countergambit
44.8%
Elephant Gambit: Wasp Variation
35.9%
Analyze Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate?

The Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 124K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit perform best?

The Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 51.1% win rate for white (2.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (54.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.3%) by 10.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit?

The Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 604 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 41.1%-47.4%) win rate for white (682 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.1%-45.9%) win rate for white (45K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.0%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-59.5%) win rate for white (239 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit a good opening?

The Elephant Gambit: Maróczy Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.