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Center Game: Ross Gambit

137K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.9%Based on 137K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 52.9%
Outcome Distribution
51.3%2.8%46.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bd3
Center Game: Ross Gambit
Analyzen=137K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 52.9%), based on 137K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +7.9% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.1% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.4% win rate (5,708 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.5% win rate (11,375 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.3% win rate (20,446 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.1% win rate (27,679 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (28,845 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (26,331 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.2% win rate (12,900 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (2,679 games)
  • 2500+: 45.9% win rate (540 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 57.9% win rate (352 games)
  • Bullet: 53.0% win rate (43,964 games)
  • Blitz: 50.7% win rate (73,342 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (18,363 games)
  • Classical: 44.8% win rate (482 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,335 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (3,225 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,133 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,669 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (6,712 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,947 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 33.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (6,166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (10,855 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (3,219 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (162 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (112 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (5,510 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (16,779 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (5,159 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (119 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.8% expected score (117 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (7,869 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (15,942 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (4,797 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (120 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (8,459 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (16,109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (1,682 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (9,008 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (3,462 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (417 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,409 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (257 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (539 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Center Game
53.6%
Variations (5)
Center Game: Berger Variation
50.7%
Center Game: Charousek Variation
46.8%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit
51.1%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
47.6%
Center Game: Hall Variation
48.4%
Analyze Center Game: Ross Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate?

The Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 137K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: Ross Gambit perform best?

The Center Game: Ross Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (26K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: Ross Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (57.9%) outperforms Classical (44.8%) by 13.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: Ross Gambit?

The Center Game: Ross Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 42.4%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 540 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-62.1%) win rate for white (352 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.4%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.0%) win rate for white (73K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Center Game: Ross Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Center Game: Ross Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 41.1%-48.5%) win rate for white (482 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Center Game: Ross Gambit a good opening?

The Center Game: Ross Gambit is statistically favors white with a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.