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Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.1%Range (90% confident): 56.0% – 56.2%Based on 1.3M games
0%56.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.0% – 56.2%
Outcome Distribution
54.5%3.2%42.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Bc4
Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 56.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.0% and 56.2%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.5% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.1% win rate (43,631 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.3% win rate (89,382 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.3% win rate (166,615 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.1% win rate (249,866 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.0% win rate (285,244 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.0% win rate (249,037 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.8% win rate (136,614 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.1% win rate (47,060 games)
  • 2500+: 49.0% win rate (6,576 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (61%), worst in Classical (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 61.4% win rate (2,622 games)
  • Bullet: 54.7% win rate (358,712 games)
  • Blitz: 54.6% win rate (698,563 games)
  • Rapid: 53.8% win rate (208,256 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (5,872 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 71.6% expected score (75 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (14,112 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (21,056 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (8,306 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.1% expected score (173 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (26,482 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (49,177 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (13,366 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (184 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (437 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (39,829 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (97,489 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (28,293 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (567 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.3% expected score (1,014 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (54,009 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (145,040 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (48,023 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (1,780 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (515 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (63,286 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.6% expected score (165,517 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (54,053 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (1,873 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.1% expected score (269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (65,912 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (141,327 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (40,411 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (1,118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (89 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (54,598 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (67,393 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (14,301 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.9% expected score (233 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (34,594 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.9% expected score (10,967 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (1,435 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (5,890 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (597 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (68 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 62.9% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Center Game
53.6%
Variations (5)
Center Game: Berger Variation
50.7%
Center Game: Charousek Variation
46.8%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit
51.1%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
47.6%
Center Game: Hall Variation
48.4%
Analyze Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate?

The Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation perform best?

The Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (285K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (61.4%) outperforms Classical (52.9%) by 8.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation?

The Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 89K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.3% (90% CI: 54.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 167K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 250K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 285K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 249K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.6%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 137K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 10.8% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 61.4% (90% CI: 59.9%-63.0%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.5%-54.8%) win rate for white (359K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.5%-54.7%) win rate for white (699K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.0%) win rate for white (208K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.0%) win rate for white (5.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

Is the Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation a good opening?

The Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.