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Analyzer

Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation

5.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 50.1%Based on 5.7K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.9% – 50.1%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%2.8%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c3
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation
Analyzen=5.7K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.9% and 50.1%), based on 5.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -2.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.5% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 74%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.6% win rate (296 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.7% win rate (568 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (863 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.5% win rate (1,058 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.1% win rate (1,394 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (858 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (488 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.2% win rate (149 games)
  • 2500+: 73.9% win rate (10 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (2,716 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (2,319 games)
  • Rapid: 40.8% win rate (615 games)
  • Classical: 49.2% win rate (30 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (154 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 33.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (188 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (276 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (102 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (395 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (336 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (122 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (471 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (448 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (132 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (599 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (676 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (115 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (461 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (309 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (79 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (359 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 32.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 76.1% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Center Game
53.6%
Variations (5)
Center Game: Berger Variation
50.7%
Center Game: Charousek Variation
46.8%
Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit
51.1%
Center Game: Hall Variation
48.4%
Center Game: Kieseritzky Variation
54.5%
Analyze Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation perform best?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.2% win rate for white (149 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.3%) outperforms Rapid (40.8%) by 10.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 296 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 568 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 44.6%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 863 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.0%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 43.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 858 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 488 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 149 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-52.9%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.8%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation has a 40.8% (90% CI: 37.6%-44.1%) win rate for white (615 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation a good opening?

The Center Game: Halasz-McDonnell Gambit, Crocodile Variation is slightly favors black with a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.