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Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation

237 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score55.3%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 60.5%Based on 237 games
0%55.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 60.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.7%11.1%39.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Qc2
Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation
Analyzen=237
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness89%
Draw Rate11.1%

What is the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 55.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 60.5%), based on 237 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 53%

1400
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1800-1999: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.3% win rate (32 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.4% win rate (127 games)
  • 2500+: 52.5% win rate (68 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (55%), worst in Blitz (49%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 50.8% win rate (31 games)
  • Blitz: 48.8% win rate (192 games)
  • Rapid: 54.8% win rate (14 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599————
1600-1799—————
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (105 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (57 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed
51.4%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Rabinovich Variation
49.6%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Botvinnik Variation
55.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 237 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation perform best?

The Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (68 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation?

The Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation has a sharpness score of 88.9 (moderately decisive), meaning 88.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 42.2%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 127 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 42.9%-54.7%) win rate for white (192 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.6%.

Is the Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Open Defense, Alekhine Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-55.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.