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Analyzer

Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit

120 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 60.7%Based on 120 games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 60.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%5.3%44.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...e5
Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit
Analyzen=120
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 45.9% and 60.7%), based on 120 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 69%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.8% win rate (17 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.8% win rate (26 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.4% win rate (45 games)
  • 2500+: 69.2% win rate (5 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (76%), worst in UltraBullet (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 56.4% win rate (26 games)
  • Blitz: 44.2% win rate (81 games)
  • Rapid: 76.0% win rate (11 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed
51.4%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Rabinovich Variation
49.6%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Botvinnik Variation
55.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 120 rated games from Lichess.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit?

The Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

Is the Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Hungarian Gambit is slightly favors black with a 50.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-58.0%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.