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Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation

170 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score55.6%Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 61.7%Based on 170 games
0%55.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 61.7%
Outcome Distribution
52.8%5.5%41.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.a4
Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation
Analyzen=170
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 61.7%), based on 170 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 41%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1600-1799: 81.0% win rate (9 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.6% win rate (72 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.6% win rate (63 games)
  • 2500+: 41.2% win rate (7 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (55%), worst in Rapid (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (50 games)
  • Blitz: 55.2% win rate (110 games)
  • Rapid: 39.1% win rate (10 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599————
1600-1799———
1800-1999———
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 65.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed
51.4%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Rabinovich Variation
49.6%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Botvinnik Variation
55.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
56.3%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 170 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation perform best?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 56.6% win rate for white (63 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (55.2%) outperforms Bullet (49.5%) by 5.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-62.8%) win rate for white (110 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Zagoryansky Variation is statistically balanced with a 52.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-59.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.