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Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line

71K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score59.4%Range (90% confident): 59.1% – 59.7%Based on 71K games
0%59.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 59.1% – 59.7%
Outcome Distribution
56.3%6.1%37.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Nbd7
Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line
Analyzen=71K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 59.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 59.1% and 59.7%), based on 71K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~60%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.1% win rate (62 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (262 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.8% win rate (1,207 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.9% win rate (4,150 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.9% win rate (12,795 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.3% win rate (23,363 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.7% win rate (24,007 games)
  • 2500+: 59.1% win rate (5,258 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (62%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 56.9% win rate (26,798 games)
  • Blitz: 55.9% win rate (39,055 games)
  • Rapid: 56.1% win rate (4,989 games)
  • Classical: 61.8% win rate (260 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (152 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (97 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (581 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (535 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (1,326 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (2,470 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (313 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (3,076 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (8,508 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (1,110 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.5% expected score (101 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (6,095 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (15,264 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (1,908 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 69.3% expected score (92 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (11,162 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 62.3% expected score (11,348 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (1,472 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 63.5% expected score (4,356 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.7% expected score (821 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (81 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Catalan Opening
50.9%
Variations (5)
Catalan Opening: Closed
51.4%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Rabinovich Variation
49.6%
Catalan Opening: Closed Variation, Traditional Variation
52.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Botvinnik Variation
55.1%
Catalan Opening: Closed, Sokolsky Variation
52.1%
Analyze Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 71K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line perform best?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.1% win rate for white (5.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (61.8%) outperforms Rapid (56.1%) by 5.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 45.2%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 262 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 53.5%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.8%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 57.7% (90% CI: 57.1%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 59.1% (90% CI: 58.0%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 56.9% (90% CI: 56.4%-57.4%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.4%-56.3%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 56.1% (90% CI: 54.9%-57.3%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

What is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line has a 61.8% (90% CI: 56.8%-66.6%) win rate for white (260 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.3%.

Is the Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line a good opening?

The Catalan Opening: Closed, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.