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Analyzer

Borg Defense: Troon Gambit

1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Borg Defense: Troon Gambit is balanced for Black at 49.4% expected score.

Results are roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

You play
Tough Sell
Rating
Time
Black Expected Score49.4%Based on 1.9K gamesWin + ½×draw — predicts rating gain better than win rate
40%49.4%55%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 51.3%
Min adv-5.1%
ContextAll ratings · All speeds · n=1.9K
Outcome Distribution
3...g4
Borg Defense: Troon Gambit
Analyzen=1.9K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

Sharpness — share of games that end decisively

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 51.3%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +0.4% · Breakpoint: 1200-1399

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 37% → 32%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 37.1% win rate (16 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.7% win rate (34 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.5% win rate (69 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.6% win rate (167 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.5% win rate (317 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.6% win rate (337 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.9% win rate (528 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (343 games)
  • 2500+: 32.2% win rate (59 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (48%), worst in Classical (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (522 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (1,163 games)
  • Rapid: 46.3% win rate (155 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (30 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter — click it again to clear. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (103 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 66.2% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (217 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (84 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (219 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (129 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (381 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (162 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (171 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 34.2% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Borg Defense
51.2%
Variations (2)
Borg Defense: Borg Gambit
52.1%
Borg Defense: Zilbermints Gambit
57.1%
Analyze Borg Defense: Troon Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates at your level with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate?

The Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit perform best?

The Borg Defense: Troon Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.7% win rate for white (59 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.6%) outperforms Rapid (47.0%) by 1.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit?

The Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 41.5%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 167 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 44.4% (90% CI: 39.9%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 317 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 41.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 337 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 47.7%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 528 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 343 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-53.0%) win rate for white (522 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-51.1%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 40.4%-53.5%) win rate for white (155 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the Borg Defense: Troon Gambit a good opening?

The Borg Defense: Troon Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.