26K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 55.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.9% and 55.9%), based on 26K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 33% → 53%
Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | ||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 26K rated games from Lichess.
The Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.0% win rate for white (13K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (53.4%) outperforms Rapid (53.4%) by 0.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 227 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.3%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.3%) win rate for white (7.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Blitz games, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.2%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Rapid games, the Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-55.8%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.
The Benoni Defense: Knight's Tour Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.